Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05f648f1cfb420261b6aeeaf044738988962776ed40470a831ba80be86d6484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fennelof Fennel, Crest Gaming Zst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Crest Gaming Zst | 2c | 947.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Crest Gaming Zst | 2c | 768.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -92%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Crest Gaming Zst | 28c | 454.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 4c | 293.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 513 | 44.6%229 W · 284 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Fennel | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Crest Gaming Zst | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Crest Gaming Zst | 28c | 248.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fennel | 53c | 233.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 35c | 213.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Crest Gaming Zst | 37c | 191.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 176.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 167.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Fennel | 72c | 139.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fennel | 54c | 136.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 19c | 122.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 42c | 120.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Fennel | 56c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fennel | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Fennel | 58c | 112.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 39c | 98.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Fennel | 43c | 93.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fennel | 66c | 93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Crest Gaming Zst | 55c | 75.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fennel | 69c | 55.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Crest Gaming Zst | 39c | 54.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Crest Gaming Zst | 44c | 44.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fennel | 58c | 40.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fennel | 57c | 31.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Fennel | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fennel | 44c | 29.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 52c | 28.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fennel | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Fennel | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fennel | 50c | 26.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fennel | 48c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsFennel won
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 1 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.