Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b7ae3a4cddda366d7fa1ec4b3d01c6392f32770890b924cc380ec075bc26d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fennelof Fennel, Crest Gaming Zst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 51c | 6,171$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fennel | 49c | 3,133$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.78 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fennel | 52c | 2,371$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.46 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fennel | 42c | 1,550$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.99 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 1,266$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.55 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Crest Gaming Zst | 50c | 1,159$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.86 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Fennel | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fennel | 48c | 921.75$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Fennel | 47c | 521.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fennel | 41c | 492.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Fennel | 66c | 417.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Fennel | 51c | 393.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 34c | 383.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 370.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Fennel | 43c | 327.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fennel | 36c | 314$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 299.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 273.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…6516backed Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 249.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 50c | 242.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 49c | 209.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 192.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 47c | 176.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fennel | 57c | 176.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 169$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fennel | 54c | 140.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Crest Gaming Zst | 49c | 136.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 108.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Crest Gaming Zst | 67c | 105.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…bb1fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 45c | 102.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Crest Gaming Zst | 38c | 92.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 34c | 90.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…6211backed Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fennel | 62c | 83.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…234bbacked Fennel | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fennel | 37c | 79.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fennel | 35c | 76.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 71.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Crest Gaming Zst | 34c | 71.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Fennel | 37c | 71.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Crest Gaming Zst | 76c | 65.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Fennel | 42c | 62.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fennel | 46c | 60.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Crest Gaming Zst | 47c | 59.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fennel | 34c | 53.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…f252backed Crest Gaming Zst | 50c | 52.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fennel | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…b3f3backed Fennel | 44c | 50.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 50.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Fennel | 72c | 46.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Fennel | 72c | 46.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 66c | 45.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Crest Gaming Zst | 74c | 42.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fennel | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Fennel | 50c | 37.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fennel | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Fennel | 42c | 32.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Crest Gaming Zst | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 49c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…83bfbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Crest Gaming Zst | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Crest Gaming Zst | 69c | 22.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 54c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Crest Gaming Zst | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 59c | 19.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 18.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 73c | 14.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 1 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 2 WinnerFennel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.