Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x883c87e0fac51d4b6a1a403859e18884c30bce5eee2f852f8251a1da2dcc3ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crest Gaming Zstof Fennel, Crest Gaming Zst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 991.17$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.49 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fennel | 10c | 667$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fennel | 21c | 419$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed Fennel | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fennel | 36c | 327.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fennel | 44c | 322.07$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 199.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fennel | 16c | 195$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fennel | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Fennel | 44c | 106.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fennel | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 39c | 34.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fennel | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals PlayoffsFennel won
- Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 2 WinnerFennel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.