Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e3f3f106c9ab06dcd1478db3d2a3d6136d1c69db4cf8161641ade78fefafb3

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Çileklerof Misa Esports, Çilekler
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,439 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe28c…ffb3backed Misa Esports	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-92%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Çilekler	29c	978$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.38	333	48.3%161 W · 172 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Misa Esports	68c	753$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.8	287	43.2%124 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Misa Esports	54c	661.7$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.57	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-20.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Misa Esports	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Çilekler	31c	578.05$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.91	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Çilekler	27c	447.98$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.34	343	56.9%195 W · 148 L	+23.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Çilekler	40c	371.99$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.2	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Çilekler	28c	335.71$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.71	153	43.8%67 W · 86 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports	60c	321.8$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.5	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports	50c	318.04$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.26	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Çilekler	39c	303.94$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.65	544	39.9%217 W · 327 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Misa Esports	71c	289$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Çilekler	33c	275.67$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.75	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Misa Esports	71c	271.25$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.59	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-11.0wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Çilekler	78c	265$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Çilekler	28c	250$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Çilekler	56c	238.44$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.18	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Misa Esports	72c	222.77$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.39	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Çilekler	22c	207.48$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.83	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports	41c	202.32$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.07	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports	56c	179.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Misa Esports	72c	162.97$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.34	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Misa Esports	71c	160$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.6	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Çilekler	50c	151.19$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.37	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Misa Esports	72c	138.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	36.2%21 W · 37 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Misa Esports	73c	135.62$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Misa Esports	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.8	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Misa Esports	73c	119.98$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.99	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Çilekler	41c	100.9$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.53	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Misa Esports	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Çilekler	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Çilekler	17c	100$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.4	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Misa Esports	72c	97.22$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked Misa Esports	70c	95$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Misa Esports	27c	90.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.91	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Çilekler	29c	84.77$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.28	601	54.2%326 W · 275 L	+24.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports	41c	75.45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.93	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Çilekler	20c	75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.81	223	44.4%99 W · 124 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Misa Esports	43c	67.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.86	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Misa Esports	36c	67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.14	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Çilekler	28c	61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.88	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Misa Esports	73c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	202	48.5%98 W · 104 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Çilekler	40c	45.08$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.99	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Misa Esports	42c	45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-18.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports	35c	44.92$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Çilekler	75c	40.5$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.97	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Çilekler	64c	39.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7070…821cbacked Misa Esports	78c	38.46$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Misa Esports	66c	35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Misa Esports	79c	35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Misa Esports	75c	33.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Çilekler	34c	30$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	182	54.4%99 W · 83 L	+22.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Misa Esports	73c	27.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Misa Esports	53c	25.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Çilekler	46c	21.99$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53c9…234dbacked Misa Esports	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed Misa Esports	72c	15.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dthis page
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Çilekler - Map 2 WinnerÇilekler won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event