Tennis · resolved market
Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moeller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b47a1bc59d9fda7364bac0126f1fe8e9b3cc4458c14ae813da438620194635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marvin Moellerof Calvin Hemery, Marvin Moeller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marvin Moeller | 67c | 6,961$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Calvin Hemery | 24c | 2,440$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Calvin Hemery | 47c | 2,366$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.34 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Calvin Hemery | 59c | 1,397$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.84 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Calvin Hemery | 42c | 1,212$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.25 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Calvin Hemery | 45c | 1,042$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.03 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Calvin Hemery | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Calvin Hemery | 37c | 817.77$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.57 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marvin Moeller | 65c | 728.31$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.23 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 617.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.76 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Calvin Hemery | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Marvin Moeller | 43c | 558.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.17 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Calvin Hemery | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Calvin Hemery | 16c | 366.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marvin Moeller | 40c | 337.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Calvin Hemery | 57c | 318$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Calvin Hemery | 56c | 254.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Calvin Hemery | 6c | 223.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marvin Moeller | 60c | 214.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Calvin Hemery | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed Marvin Moeller | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Marvin Moeller | 44c | 187.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Calvin Hemery | 49c | 163.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Calvin Hemery | 24c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Calvin Hemery | 36c | 138.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Marvin Moeller | 52c | 138$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Calvin Hemery | 18c | 129.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Calvin Hemery | 45c | 125.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marvin Moeller | 65c | 123.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marvin Moeller | 43c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Calvin Hemery | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Calvin Hemery | 59c | 107.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Calvin Hemery | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Calvin Hemery | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marvin Moeller | 59c | 101.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Marvin Moeller | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Marvin Moeller | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Marvin Moeller | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Calvin Hemery | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Calvin Hemery | 55c | 95.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marvin Moeller | 33c | 84.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Calvin Hemery | 29c | 84.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Calvin Hemery | 40c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Marvin Moeller | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Calvin Hemery | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marvin Moeller | 43c | 76.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Marvin Moeller | 77c | 76.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Marvin Moeller | 42c | 69.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Calvin Hemery | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Calvin Hemery | 36c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Calvin Hemery | 58c | 58.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Calvin Hemery | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Calvin Hemery | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Calvin Hemery | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Marvin Moeller | 66c | 48.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Calvin Hemery | 27c | 46.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marvin Moeller | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Calvin Hemery | 41c | 41.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Marvin Moeller | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Marvin Moeller | 60c | 36.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Calvin Hemery | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Calvin Hemery | 33c | 35.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Calvin Hemery | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Marvin Moeller | 78c | 30.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Marvin Moeller | 55c | 30.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Marvin Moeller | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Marvin Moeller | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Calvin Hemery | 52c | 26.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Calvin Hemery | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Calvin Hemery | 61c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Calvin Hemery | 59c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Calvin Hemery | 55c | 22.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Marvin Moeller | 65c | 22.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Calvin Hemery | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Calvin Hemery | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…434cbacked Calvin Hemery | 57c | 17.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moellerthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Hemery vs MoellerMoeller won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.