Tennis · resolved market
Set 4 Winner: Dimitrov vs Fery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa403fb1aea7d2a97e114ead7a143fbc223ead84a146008f3516c12d8b77872bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Dimitrov, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Dimitrov | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Dimitrov | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fery | 39c | 441.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Dimitrov | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Dimitrov | 74c | 269.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fery | 36c | 219.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Fery | 40c | 210.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Dimitrov | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dimitrov | 64c | 101.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dimitrov | 48c | 57.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Dimitrov | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Fery | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…3fa5backed Dimitrov | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 4 Winner: Dimitrov vs Ferythis page
- Dimitrov vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Dimitrov vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Grigor Dimitrov vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Grigor Dimitrov vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryFery won
- Set 2 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryDimitrov won
- Set 3 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryDimitrov won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Fery (-2.5) vs Dimitrov (+2.5)Dimitrov won
- Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.