Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Dimitrov vs Fery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df215f342364d974f2f908916554bd53b15ab6197064605bb94e4d7ecd03c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dimitrovof Dimitrov, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fery | 31c | 804.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.01 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f764backed Fery | 37c | 667.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Dimitrov | 69c | 631.62$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dimitrov | 65c | 597.88$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Fery | 27c | 553.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Dimitrov | 70c | 354.29$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dimitrov | 68c | 224$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dimitrov | 70c | 141.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dimitrov | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Dimitrov | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Dimitrov vs Ferythis page
- Dimitrov vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Dimitrov vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Grigor Dimitrov vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Grigor Dimitrov vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryFery won
- Set 2 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryDimitrov won
- Set 4 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Fery (-2.5) vs Dimitrov (+2.5)Dimitrov won
- Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.