Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Dimitrov vs Fery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108a4899f839a15768b96fc3c8c8610192f641a3766c2c7d61c4001748e0e442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Dimitrov, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76ff…1e73backed Dimitrov | 72c | 3,138$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Fery | 35c | 2,172$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.82 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fery | 36c | 1,938$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…779cbacked Dimitrov | 71c | 1,299$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Dimitrov | 38c | 1,100$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.38 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Dimitrov | 73c | 673.41$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.38 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Dimitrov | 52c | 551.62$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.84 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fery | 37c | 515.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Fery | 33c | 424.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Dimitrov | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fery | 38c | 399.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Dimitrov | 63c | 388.89$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…f88fbacked Dimitrov | 63c | 316.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Dimitrov | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Fery | 38c | 298.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Fery | 36c | 280.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.93 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fery | 36c | 277.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Fery | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dimitrov | 63c | 254.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Fery | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fery | 50c | 184.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…63c2backed Dimitrov | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Dimitrov | 72c | 153.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fery | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Dimitrov | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fery | 29c | 145.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Dimitrov | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dimitrov | 68c | 132.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Fery | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Dimitrov | 73c | 109.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.3wins | -0.53per pick | 66cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fery | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dimitrov | 62c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Fery | 32c | 56.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Fery | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…eac4backed Dimitrov | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…5792backed Dimitrov | 61c | 40.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dimitrov | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dimitrov | 66c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Dimitrov | 72c | 24.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Dimitrov | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Dimitrov | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Dimitrov vs Ferythis page
- Dimitrov vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Dimitrov vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Grigor Dimitrov vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Grigor Dimitrov vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryDimitrov won
- Set 3 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryDimitrov won
- Set 4 Winner: Dimitrov vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Fery (-2.5) vs Dimitrov (+2.5)Dimitrov won
- Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.