Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33f9fa333e54eca35e52e2f234bc6527667ff90e7bcde6fb1512dd8992add96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Zverevof Marcos Giron, Alexander Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Marcos Giron | 4c | 184,063$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marcos Giron | 4c | 30,775$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Marcos Giron | 6c | 12,457$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.4 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marcos Giron | 7c | 10,536$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marcos Giron | 7c | 10,167$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.63 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Marcos Giron | 2c | 5,458$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Marcos Giron | 10c | 5,369$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.77 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Marcos Giron | 1c | 4,099$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marcos Giron | 9c | 3,530$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.96 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Marcos Giron | 1c | 3,273$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Marcos Giron | 5c | 2,903$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Marcos Giron | 5c | 2,500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marcos Giron | 3c | 2,465$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Marcos Giron | 4c | 2,431$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Marcos Giron | 5c | 2,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Marcos Giron | 1c | 1,765$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Marcos Giron | 6c | 1,724$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Marcos Giron | 8c | 1,586$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Marcos Giron | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Marcos Giron | 9c | 1,149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Marcos Giron | 3c | 1,075$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Marcos Giron | 7c | 1,072$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Marcos Giron | 2c | 1,051$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Marcos Giron | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marcos Giron | 5c | 888.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Marcos Giron | 7c | 850.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Marcos Giron | 6c | 840.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Marcos Giron | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Marcos Giron | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Alexander Zverev | 78c | 750$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Marcos Giron | 7c | 717$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Marcos Giron | 9c | 700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 632.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Marcos Giron | 6c | 622$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…4890backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 596.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Marcos Giron | 2c | 570$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Marcos Giron | 5c | 547.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Marcos Giron | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Marcos Giron | 3c | 499.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Alexander Zverev | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Alexander Zverev | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Alexander Zverev | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Alexander Zverev | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Alexander Zverev | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Marcos Giron | 7c | 334.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marcos Giron | 7c | 317.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marcos Giron | 10c | 315.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Marcos Giron | 9c | 299.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Marcos Giron | 5c | 275.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marcos Giron | 7c | 270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Marcos Giron | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Marcos Giron | 10c | 240.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Marcos Giron | 9c | 236$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…a284backed Marcos Giron | 6c | 211.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Alexander Zverev | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Alexander Zverev | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…0a53backed Marcos Giron | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…af9fbacked Marcos Giron | 9c | 181.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…c501backed Marcos Giron | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 145.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 139.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Alexander Zverev | 70c | 135$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…e350backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 132.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…81f5backed Marcos Giron | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Alexander Zverev | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Alexander Zverev | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Alexander Zverev | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Alexander Zverev | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Alexander Zverev | 71c | 71.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverevthis page
- Marcos Giron vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Giron vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Giron vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Giron vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Giron (+2.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.