Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Giron (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa04f6a086aae875a83855f49c88b17f7edbea28b74e0824c828dd113158e0ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev | 58c | 4,320$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.21 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Giron | 42c | 3,748$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.06 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 54c | 1,002$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Giron | 44c | 936.3$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.97 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Zverev | 56c | 911.07$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Giron | 35c | 808.3$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Giron | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Giron | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Zverev | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Zverev | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Zverev | 78c | 153.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giron | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Zverev | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Zverev | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Giron | 45c | 97.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…f2fcbacked Zverev | 73c | 82.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Giron | 46c | 76.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Giron | 27c | 71.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Giron | 43c | 62.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Zverev | 57c | 59.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Giron | 44c | 58.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Zverev | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Giron | 44c | 51.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Zverev | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Giron | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Giron | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zverev | 57c | 44.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Zverev | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Giron | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Giron | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Giron | 45c | 26.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Giron (+2.5)this page
- Marcos Giron vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Giron vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Giron vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Giron vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)Zverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Marcos Giron vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.