TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,525 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over36c11,077$3,997 inLost-$3,996.7219965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Under34c4,650$1,583 inWon+$3,066.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9774…3497backed Under30c999.99$300 inWon+$7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c270.31$155 inWon+$114.832,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under20c180.61$36 inWon+$144.48616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over46c108.24$50 inLost-$5013855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf85b…48b9backed Over41c61.16$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over50c59.98$30 inLost-$29.995626.8%15 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid+58.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under70c57.92$40 inWon+$17.51,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over48c54.75$26 inLost-$26.2834847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Under50c54.46$27 inWon+$27.231540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under30c47.05$14 inWon+$33.052524%6 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+57.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under69c30$21 inWon+$9.369352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.