Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a518972c32df24117ef6c9c49498809fb61b6bd3b772bf732a8bc5c0c5b249b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 3,484$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.41 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 2,653$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.53 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 41c | 1,695$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Over | 42c | 1,202$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 41c | 1,119$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.03 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 973.44$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.28 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 970.84$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.36 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over | 42c | 862.07$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 64c | 600$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.69 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Over | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 444.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Under | 64c | 359.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 35c | 299.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.99 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 63c | 198.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 197.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 160.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 37c | 156.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…065dbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 49c | 148.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…7529backed Under | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 84.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 78.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 40c | 60.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 43.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 74c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.