Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8fb040178023ee05f1d63ca00946b1972212f35dae781ae38818a283c839fc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 1,174$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.69 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 731.76$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 30c | 384$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 65c | 377.64$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 28c | 371.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 54c | 365.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 47c | 284.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 45c | 247.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 157.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 65c | 154.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 49c | 151.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 130.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 94.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 87.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 78.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 63c | 77.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 61c | 73.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 46.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 43.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…2278backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…8794backed Over | 62c | 26.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 47c | 24.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 46c | 23.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.