TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Liaoning Tieren FCof Liaoning Tieren FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,753 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Liaoning Tieren FC25c2,922$716 inWon+$2,206.12,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC75c1,703$1,284 inLost-$1,284.465,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC72c1,405$1,012 inLost-$1,011.791,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Liaoning Tieren FC30c181.8$55 inWon+$127.262020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Liaoning Tieren FC26c135.14$35 inWon+$1002365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+84%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC74c129.87$96 inLost-$96.111233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC80c125$100 inLost-$1001,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Liaoning Tieren FC21c111.96$24 inWon+$88.4554354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC79c101.27$80 inLost-$8012941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Liaoning Tieren FC19c88.32$17 inWon+$71.546038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Liaoning Tieren FC34c88.24$30 inWon+$58.245743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Liaoning Tieren FC34c46.85$16 inWon+$30.9221144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liaoning Tieren FC79c18.8$15 inWon+$3.951,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.