Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab3db9fc0c1b46d4c11e4019b3e42f4cb5027f63c584958c6c234c96d3e7c88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 48c | 16,204$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,833.31 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 60c | 6,250$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Under | 26c | 2,766$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…85bcbacked Under | 6c | 2,600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Under | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 8c | 2,250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.58 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Over | 64c | 2,044$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.26 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed Under | 6c | 2,041$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 15c | 1,648$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 69c | 1,339$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 1,161$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.47 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 77c | 1,011$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 941.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.04 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 19c | 908.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Under | 4c | 731.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Under | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Under | 42c | 595.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 71c | 595.83$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 29c | 517$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 63c | 476.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 44c | 473.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.69 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Over | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 371.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 18c | 273$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 38c | 195.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 160.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 153$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 75c | 133.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 38c | 131.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…1facbacked Over | 67c | 131.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 20c | 118.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 22c | 86.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 62.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 59c | 59.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 60c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 45.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 38c | 38.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…1af4backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…550abacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.