Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddea4290930b45ea32b889f43ccc76fddb2eae8884d2344c74afa638bacf749c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 3,082$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.37 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 1,282$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.43 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 37c | 695.72$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 29c | 517$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 71c | 517$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 431.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 65c | 421.54$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 34c | 324.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.53 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 291.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 216$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 35c | 154.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 65c | 137.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 89.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 59.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 36c | 55.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 29c | 40.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7f8abacked Yes | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 23.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…2c0cbacked Yes | 64c | 23.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Yes | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Yes | 70c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.