Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef3e00b666008abe9a7cef16aef5f2fb827a9c7922144365a9e3cdb0a1bf2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 4,045$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.5 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 9c | 3,579$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 42c | 2,390$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.85 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 2,231$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.19 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,676$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 14c | 1,653$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 56c | 1,000$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.01 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 16c | 761.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 738.04$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.04 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 49c | 523.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked Under | 20c | 419.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…7786backed Under | 52c | 372.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 18c | 301.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Over | 40c | 284.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 127.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 75c | 101.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 50c | 79.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 55.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 65c | 36.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 42c | 30.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 57c | 29.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 28.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 61c | 27.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…2c0cbacked Under | 59c | 23.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Over | 69c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.