Champions League · resolved market
Will KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0e776d727fff9fad60ef7b88c3596fad7f0e6f66b060cbad36502ecc1681e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 76c | 3,975$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.17 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 3,739$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.86 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 76c | 3,646$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.17 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 2,403$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.59 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed Yes | 25c | 1,461$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,461$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Yes | 25c | 1,300$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…ee81backed Yes | 25c | 1,218$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…621cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,218$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 72c | 1,096$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 1c | 1,075$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 1,038$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.02 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 725.9$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 48c | 608.79$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 595.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 30c | 419$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 72c | 416.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 344.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 342.49$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…41d4backed Yes | 28c | 266.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 242.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 29c | 242.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 73c | 231.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 12c | 221.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 28c | 178.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked No | 36c | 171$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 25c | 170.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 168.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed No | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 33c | 116.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…91b9backed Yes | 27c | 94.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 66c | 94.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 25c | 84.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Yes | 25c | 74.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 66.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…d72fbacked Yes | 34c | 50.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 31c | 49.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 36c | 46.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 26c | 40.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 56c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 75c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC end in a draw?this page
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.