Champions League · resolved market
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63eaac953a1963388eaca35869ed52507269f0c52e32e73c2181ea89e46eefef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.93 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 4,563$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.3 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 3,540$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.31 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,402$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.39 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed No | 66c | 1,511$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,350$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 1,086$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.19 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 58c | 1,043$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 1,043$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.04 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 67c | 598.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.17 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 34c | 570.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked No | 66c | 450.91$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 35c | 419$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 384$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 380.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 35c | 350.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 322.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 66c | 294$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 27c | 288.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 66c | 288$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 269.89$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 65c | 239.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 73c | 171.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 36c | 113.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…9755backed Yes | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 33c | 87.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 85.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 17c | 79.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f8…9aa4backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 63.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 42c | 56.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 63c | 56.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 52.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 66c | 50.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 67c | 39.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 35c | 33.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 34c | 33.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 63c | 23.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 65c | 20.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.