Champions League · resolved market
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc81bbddce90f3a32ff4335c323bbdab35ae8dae4381d0dd4460c74257ae138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 66c | 3,838$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.65 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 76c | 2,500$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.35 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,470$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 2,400$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.73 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,101$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.51 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +82%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 1,633$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.25 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 50c | 1,507$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.26 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 1,489$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.75 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 58c | 1,104$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.29 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 967.12$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.41 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 41c | 964.83$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.88 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 14c | 942.93$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 48c | 863$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 53c | 566.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 26c | 565.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked No | 66c | 559.53$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 39c | 515.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 41c | 500$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 491.38$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…dcdebacked Yes | 21c | 476.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 55c | 455.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 7c | 436$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 33c | 419$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 60c | 388.09$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 359.07$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 351.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 344$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 17c | 341.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 334$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 333.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 34c | 333.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 73c | 318.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…afe2backed No | 20c | 220.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 10c | 214$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 199.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 54c | 180.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 46c | 170.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 51c | 155.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 55c | 150.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed No | 62c | 146$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked No | 21c | 136.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 61c | 119.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 35c | 118.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 43c | 116.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 45c | 111.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 41c | 101.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 95.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 37c | 93.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed Yes | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 84.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Yes | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 60c | 72.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 38c | 67.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 64c | 64.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 37c | 58.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 54.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 42c | 53.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 65c | 44.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 37c | 41.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 38c | 39.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 63c | 39.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 38c | 36.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 61c | 16.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.