Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df9338d6dc083c7bb8176ad6d115d6c1a1efd986d9a3c0c6e544c1b632a0f86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 5,253$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.97 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 30c | 2,641$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.96 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Under | 44c | 1,733$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 1,446$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.05 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Under | 9c | 1,350$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 1,238$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.94 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Under | 12c | 1,200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Under | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 1,070$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.43 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 812.66$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.35 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 56c | 707.23$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 506.86$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.58 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 56c | 469.49$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 47c | 453.47$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 44c | 433.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…7996backed Over | 58c | 345.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 334.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 58c | 314.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…53bfbacked Under | 50c | 301.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 23c | 288.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.43 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…7c56backed Over | 35c | 270.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 56c | 243.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 68c | 234.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 69c | 207.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 56c | 196.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 52c | 195.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 193.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…be69backed Over | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 181$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 43c | 169.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Under | 44c | 143.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 29c | 137.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…4186backed Under | 44c | 87.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 43c | 76.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 42c | 64.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 42c | 63.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 43c | 31.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Under | 66c | 30.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 42c | 28.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Under | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 57c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 71c | 14.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5this page
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 2.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 2.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.