Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x995de798f5df20f2bd2c00ad0be668cce4d4f8fac516105541e08ea39e01157e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,025$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed Yes | 54c | 927.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 748.34$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.34 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 698.49$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.32 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 540$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 62c | 414.61$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 324.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 53c | 319.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 79c | 298$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xddeb…83f3backed Yes | 60c | 283.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 55c | 214.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 156.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 32c | 153.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Yes | 56c | 125.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 43c | 101.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Yes | 41c | 49.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 46c | 46.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 47c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Yes | 53c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 54c | 19.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 2.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 2.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.