Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e17cfd8d4546b76d6cf7e4d19c8ba122a3d668e16c34f7a2ba5e539971c8cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 4,557$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,509$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.66 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 1,068$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 873.6$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.74 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 53c | 756.52$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 24c | 688.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 33c | 578.61$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 50c | 524.88$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 19c | 422.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 259.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 64c | 211.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 71c | 208.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 206.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 56c | 190.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 70c | 181.07$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 171.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Over | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 50c | 148.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 78c | 100.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 48c | 99.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Over | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…3616backed Over | 50c | 58.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 73c | 57.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 75c | 53.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 49c | 36.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Over | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 49c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Over | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…a9d0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 67c | 18.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 1.5this page
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Hammarby IF O/U 2.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: IF Elfsborg O/U 2.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.