Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Max Purcell vs Joshua Charlton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d12b69ff9151fba8260fb535db1643e5f56f119ac5cdc2e2e580698a43d66d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joshua Charltonof Max Purcell, Joshua Charlton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Max Purcell | 78c | 16,356$12,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,679.68 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Joshua Charlton | 16c | 12,173$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,273.29 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Joshua Charlton | 47c | 11,900$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,351.41 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joshua Charlton | 66c | 684$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Max Purcell | 40c | 660.56$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Max Purcell | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Max Purcell | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Max Purcell | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Max Purcell | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Max Purcell | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Purcell | 79c | 523.09$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Max Purcell | 33c | 328$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Max Purcell | 35c | 308.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Max Purcell | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 17cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Max Purcell | 40c | 208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Max Purcell | 40c | 208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Max Purcell | 40c | 208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Max Purcell | 40c | 208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Max Purcell | 41c | 203$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Max Purcell | 79c | 202.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Max Purcell | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Joshua Charlton | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Joshua Charlton | 78c | 148.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Max Purcell | 34c | 119.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +18.4wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Max Purcell | 37c | 103.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…8e38backed Max Purcell | 37c | 103.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…ed4bbacked Max Purcell | 38c | 101.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Max Purcell | 40c | 96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Max Purcell | 40c | 62.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Joshua Charlton | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Max Purcell | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Max Purcell | 63c | 46.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Max Purcell | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Max Purcell | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.