Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c5f2afb59401ee78f432527010493653580e2b9f182a067e37d5cdb95dfb15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 8,041$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.33 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 74c | 5,398$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.03 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked No | 19c | 4,869$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 71c | 4,174$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.54 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 3,771$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.43 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 3,414$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.94 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,538$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 1,821$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.31 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 61c | 1,629$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.65 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,305$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Yes | 26c | 1,300$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 61c | 984.37$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.91 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Yes | 13c | 765.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 706.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…918dbacked Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…af78backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 31c | 661$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 37c | 641.82$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eef…e72cbacked Yes | 28c | 626.94$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 523$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 19c | 506.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…621cbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…10dabacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…ee81backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…3fc0backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…feaabacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…41d4backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 72c | 441.2$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 70c | 419.25$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 13c | 413.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Yes | 38c | 408.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 59c | 408$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 347.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 77c | 255.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Yes | 29c | 252.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 50c | 221.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 47c | 202.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 12c | 170.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No | 32c | 156$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Yes | 12c | 155.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 12c | 154.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 49c | 146.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 37c | 144.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 14c | 133.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 15c | 124.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 11c | 116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 44c | 95.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 75c | 91.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 43c | 86.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 20c | 74.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Yes | 26c | 72.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 69c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 59.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 34c | 57.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yes | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 39c | 53.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 62c | 52.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…ea22backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked No | 69c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…d9aebacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-08?No won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.