Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed94ad22fd9ed8373338331619b310977080c0f85032665b9d83021fffab064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,245$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed Yes | 5c | 7,948$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 1c | 5,263$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 362 | 60.2%218 W · 144 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 4,378$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 286 | 36.4%104 W · 182 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 5c | 4,333$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +341.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 6c | 4,167$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 2,869$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…2d23backed Yes | 1c | 1,056$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 1,013$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 973 | 32.2%313 W · 660 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Yes | 6c | 966.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 7c | 738.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 6c | 550.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 193 | 43%83 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 5c | 492.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 387.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Yes | 5c | 386.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…6a0cbacked Yes | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 5c | 301.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 6c | 195$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 6c | 174.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…b87fbacked Yes | 9c | 171.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-08?this page
- Will Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić end in a draw?No won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.