MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1bf7eb6b7ca900fcd814eab7e022fffe98299d303f8d5fb1ab806de607062b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 44c | 39,973$17,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,584.66 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 16c | 32,130$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.7 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Athletics | 54c | 25,182$13,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,693.56 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 31c | 22,255$6,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.85 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 22,028$16,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Athletics | 31c | 16,576$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.16 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 15,300$12,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.53 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 57c | 13,644$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 12,405$7,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 11,644$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.84 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 11,575$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 25c | 11,210$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 8,786$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 7,576$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,588$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.5 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics | 6c | 5,471$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.03 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,000$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 4,708$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.56 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 4,465$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.26 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 39c | 3,821$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,175$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,072$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,435$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.59 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Athletics | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,275$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.08 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,992$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.51 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Athletics | 1c | 1,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 1,793$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 14c | 1,645$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Athletics | 1c | 1,602$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,442$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.32 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 56c | 1,441$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked Athletics | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,404$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.88 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,330$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 1,263$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,255$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.8 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Athletics | 17c | 1,173$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,088$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 1c | 1,053$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 16c | 999.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 993.83$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.48 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 978$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.92 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Athletics | 38c | 973.68$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 946.32$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Athletics | 54c | 922.78$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 894$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.87 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 30c | 815.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 16c | 759.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Athletics | 40c | 691.5$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 78c | 661.54$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 53c | 616.09$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.53 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 19c | 602.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 575$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 567.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.02 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 566.59$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 542.7$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.06 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 534.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Athletics | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics | 49c | 517.49$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 32c | 499.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 487.55$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Athletics | 55c | 474.67$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics | 26c | 458.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 449.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.75 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Athletics | 15c | 421.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 378.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Athletics | 45c | 359.13$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 16c | 357.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Athletics | 16c | 356.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Athletics | 44c | 346.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 337.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 337.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 320$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Athletics | 4c | 276.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 269.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Athletics | 25c | 253.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Athletics | 54c | 251.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 247.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…4907backed Athletics | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 245.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Athletics | 31c | 241.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Athletics | 31c | 235.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.