MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b2fdd2223e3fa171101e13d0e490a0e1e0bd58bb4e9edc03c6ab35eb795e66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 222,585$137,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,684.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 121,129$41,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,522.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 60,974$23,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,501.85 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 53,846$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,846.15 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 20,854$9,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,801.38 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 20,783$15,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 20,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 18,811$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,260.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 17,991$5,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 16,109$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 14,901$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520.64 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 14,402$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 8,881$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 8,836$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.47 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 8,749$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.42 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 7,173$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.33 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 7,143$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 6,984$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.44 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 6,517$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.36 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 6,406$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.06 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 6,227$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.76 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 5,714$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 5,607$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 4,286$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,626$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.55 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,470$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 3,422$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.23 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 2,973$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.89 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,643$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.84 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,499$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,765$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.36 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,514$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,409$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.22 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,151$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.97 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 1,143$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,049$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.11 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,046$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 999.48$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 899.39$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.51 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 810$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 761.98$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 699.98$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.19 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 574.07$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 499.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 498.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 482.8$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 449.06$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 437.82$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 393.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 387.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 379.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 370$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 364.62$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 362$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 346.29$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 321$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 318.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 317.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 289.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 287.22$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 275.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 275.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 265.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 253.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 247.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 238$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 234.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 225.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 224.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 222.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 215.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 184.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 164.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 162.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 154.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 153.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 150.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 141.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 139.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 138.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 136.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…1e6abacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 128.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.