Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a007a01be7aed76d54a3e825728666079a07efe235753182873f299e6beb3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 19c | 19,931$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.89 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 17c | 13,465$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 19c | 13,239$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 18c | 12,200$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 18c | 9,583$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.39 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 7,882$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.95 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 7,662$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 17c | 6,322$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.55 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 18c | 2,702$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.04 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 18c | 1,480$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 5c | 1,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 20c | 995$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 19c | 869.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 17c | 823.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 17c | 353$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 19c | 325$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…d9b1backed No | 19c | 245$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 10c | 235$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 11c | 232.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 216$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 19c | 149.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 19c | 123.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 18c | 110.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 20c | 102.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 19c | 91.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 18c | 86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 19c | 79.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed No | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 19c | 56.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.