Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9189c17f4aeed21443489be9723a47f4d0433fa6d4cbeed1213ce4af104156d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 4,614$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.05 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 75c | 3,233$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.94 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,156$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.71 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 2,867$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.66 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Yes | 12c | 2,098$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 32c | 1,622$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.4 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 4c | 1,499$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,011$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.01 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 963.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 31c | 786$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 745.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…035bbacked Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 500.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1df9backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 31c | 479.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 13c | 474.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 31c | 423.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 13c | 395$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 12c | 361.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 352.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 12c | 247.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Yes | 29c | 199.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 165.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 13c | 149.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…21f7backed Yes | 14c | 139.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 32c | 81.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 21c | 71.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…910ebacked Yes | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. FCSB end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.