Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1756b00ba381a4d3fa9e41656a4a939f27670d6b24949e940ade9c8ecf4269af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 15,654$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.38 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 54c | 11,399$6,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.28 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 64c | 3,929$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 20c | 1,959$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.45 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 1,431$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.03 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed No | 63c | 1,262$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 1,255$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.29 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,217$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 1,038$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 29c | 674.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 600.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.69 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 72c | 450$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 66c | 429$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 71c | 428$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 35c | 412.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.88 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…f4eabacked No | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 180.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 58c | 179.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed No | 65c | 170$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Yes | 75c | 168$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Yes | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 67c | 137.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…0cccbacked No | 64c | 118$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 33c | 114.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 29c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 29c | 104.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 73c | 68.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 30c | 67.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 36c | 57.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…af97backed Yes | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 42.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 46c | 40.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 39c | 30.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…a71abacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 72c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…9101backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will FCSB win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. FCSB end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.