Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97212d3eb460fd3f95da62eb738d9e28be91c75dd7fad9f5506a9615afb2f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under | 50c | 5,062$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,387$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Under | 68c | 1,230$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 70c | 1,030$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 46c | 1,017$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.24 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 789.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 30c | 774.27$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 40c | 566.23$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 387.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 59c | 293.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 272.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 155.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 63c | 149.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 51c | 116.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 105.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 43c | 99.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 72.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 46c | 52.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 54c | 36.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 64c | 29.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Over | 47c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Under | 56c | 18.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 138.5this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne DukesDuquesne Dukes won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 135.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 136.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-1.5)Duquesne Dukes won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-2.5)Duquesne Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.