Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c62f85be0433f345d870a53e11fa81ae0ff592765024b584fdd99eab914373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duquesne Dukesof Duquesne Dukes, Rhode Island Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,519 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Rhode Island Rams | 26c | 768.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duquesne Dukes | 74c | 579.94$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rhode Island Rams | 50c | 276.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 58c | 274.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 46c | 190.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 183.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 51c | 180.53$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Rhode Island Rams | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Duquesne Dukes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Duquesne Dukes | 44c | 125.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rhode Island Rams | 47c | 113.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Rhode Island Rams | 56c | 106.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Rhode Island Rams | 34c | 99.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Rhode Island Rams | 55c | 73.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 67c | 36.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Duquesne Dukes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 76c | 27.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-2.5)this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne DukesDuquesne Dukes won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 135.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 136.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 137.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-1.5)Duquesne Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.