Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74873f703643a8fb8d144da51a212c057647ee755834350dc698d29792bc26e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,324 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 54c | 10,623$5,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,691.12 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 8,713$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Under | 62c | 951.45$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 60c | 544.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 478.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 429.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 408.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 389.05$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 54c | 381.89$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 299.64$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 297.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 68c | 252.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked Over | 50c | 196.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 58c | 194.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 44c | 135.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 134.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 52c | 123.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Under | 46c | 90.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 55c | 88.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 86.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 46c | 73.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 54c | 73.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 44c | 57.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 39.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 35.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Over | 49c | 33.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 46c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 53c | 30.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 23.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 20.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 135.5this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne DukesDuquesne Dukes won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 136.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 137.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-1.5)Duquesne Dukes won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-2.5)Duquesne Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.