TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,558 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03c7…22f2backed Knicks56c107.33$60 inWon+$47.329552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked 76ers50c100$50 inLost-$5026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1d…32fabacked Knicks51c98.86$50 inWon+$48.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed Knicks47c36.16$17 inWon+$19.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Knicks50c34.03$17 inWon+$17.0216852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a9…c2f9backed Knicks48c34$16 inWon+$17.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d99…934cbacked Knicks50c30$15 inWon+$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ad…85bbbacked 76ers50c30$15 inLost-$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed 76ers51c29.54$15 inLost-$15.1940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b2…9c54backed 76ers56c29$16 inLost-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf1…796ebacked 76ers49c25.55$13 inLost-$12.521546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ea…5a8abacked 76ers49c25.27$12 inLost-$12.381225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed 76ers49c24.4$12 inLost-$11.961926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6bfd…ff86backed 76ers49c23.24$11 inLost-$11.391952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks50c21.55$11 inWon+$10.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed 76ers50c20.39$10 inLost-$10.216036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers53c19.8$10 inLost-$10.491,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e04…3fb0backed 76ers57c18$10 inLost-$10.26580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb970…2ed0backed 76ers59c17$10 inLost-$10.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.