TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks76c20,207$15,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Knicks51c13,958$7,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,893.9325753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers50c12,476$6,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,241.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Knicks50c10,541$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,270.485846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers50c7,554$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.132,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked 76ers57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks43c3,293$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.0131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers50c2,658$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Knicks50c2,405$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.4828448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks49c2,369$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.342,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers50c1,980$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9905,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers63c1,800$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.8789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks46c1,688$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers63c1,500$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.6850653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked 76ers23c1,448$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33120536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed 76ers53c1,325$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.071,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked 76ers52c1,245$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers50c1,207$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers48c1,146$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Knicks50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed 76ers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed 76ers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Knicks50c916.9$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.457150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Knicks48c878.52$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.8329055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed 76ers50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35023644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Knicks47c670.02$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.81,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed 76ers25c630.9$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed 76ers51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed 76ers51c582.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers54c577.3$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.973,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed 76ers46c554.72$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4423845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks39c467$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks41c459.09$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.091,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Knicks50c421.74$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.875347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Knicks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Knicks49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20410445.2%47 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2083,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed 76ers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks37c346$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.941,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Knicks43c344.23$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.213831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers50c340.41$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed 76ers63c318.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb4…cd62backed Knicks50c276.15$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Knicks39c262$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.828350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Knicks43c255.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.819343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed 76ers50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks37c224.32$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.321,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers29c211.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers51c204.02$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0563447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked 76ers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed 76ers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks63c155.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.543,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed 76ers36c140$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.716653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 76ers24c115.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.271,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Knicks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5110957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Knicks38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.996847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Knicks57c96.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.691,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks79c90$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Knicks38c90$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.821937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Knicks36c85.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.582,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks50c81.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.831,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed 76ers62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Knicks56c78.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Knicks50c77.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5218957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed 76ers55c64.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9840849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Knicks41c64.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Knicks43c63.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.22661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Knicks50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+63.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed 76ers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Knicks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3029247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Knicks80c44.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8618060.6%109 W · 71 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Knicks54c42.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.724330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Knicks49c41.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Knicks50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2047349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Knicks50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x974a…615cbacked Knicks50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed 76ers53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked 76ers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207859%46 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2276…295ebacked 76ers64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…9e0bbacked Knicks40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed 76ers52c36.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Knicks64c36.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks50c32.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed 76ers52c31.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5520352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Knicks50c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.84755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd402…a47ebacked Knicks40c29.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e0…ee84backed 76ers51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked 76ers52c28.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xada4…1bfabacked Knicks40c27.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Knicks40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c1…88a3backed Knicks40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Knicks40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155048%24 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.