TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8764…604abacked Over51c23,109$11,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,395.797266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c16,280$7,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,815.432,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c11,103$5,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,407.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c10,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c9,588$4,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.2365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c8,907$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.6524045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6921…ca10backed Over45c6,933$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc824…59abbacked Under55c3,600$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,167$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.583,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,419$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…eedcbacked Under55c2,400$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c2,279$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.7447856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,646$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.545,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,632$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over51c1,513$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.7624450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c1,179$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.831,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under49c1,139$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5589952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c948.28$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.832,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b8…9fe5backed Under55c933.31$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c739.06$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c644.26$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.354,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under25c496.05$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2720536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c478$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.221,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under30c450$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13537930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over58c369.01$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d89…d5a6backed Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under8c320.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6714438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c254.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Under48c233.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.883831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Over67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9941052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under49c185.57$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9313750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Under54c181.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c157.03$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.223,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under8c154.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over51c150.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.984847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c114$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.445,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over45c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.423,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over66c76.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4318957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under67c74.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under35c70.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.723,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over49c54.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.964637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Over51c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.944546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.261,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over51c47.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2257657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under56c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9271245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under47c31.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1635049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4997…3b42backed Under56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0c…94c1backed Under56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under69c16.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.