NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e956a021243396bb4c59c6eb3afc297961dc3783d720d7957e3a11c856cc85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 7,919$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 58c | 5,189$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.66 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 2,878$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.38 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 2,556$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 1,783$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 57c | 1,771$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 1,647$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Over | 53c | 1,274$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 62c | 803.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.22 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 803$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 593.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…e221backed Over | 63c | 533.27$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 38c | 527.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 410.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 48c | 371.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 42c | 270.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 61c | 260.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 259.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 42c | 171.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 51c | 118.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 53c | 100.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 41c | 67.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…496abacked Over | 62c | 67.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 39c | 54.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 53c | 46.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 42c | 45.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 59c | 44.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 40.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 63c | 38.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 31.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 40c | 29.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 42c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 57c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…672ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5this page
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Dominick Barlow: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.