NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8161e4d717b75cb13a17c0fe486d71ecb52d323d90e3639b107360ac31f73c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 7,113$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 6,383$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.47 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Under | 43c | 5,050$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 4,745$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,473$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 4,101$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over | 50c | 1,914$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,478$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.61 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 1,100$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.85 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,073$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 842.62$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 45c | 793.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 44c | 396.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 332.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 332.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 188.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 148.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…6610backed Over | 71c | 141.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 29c | 126.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Under | 46c | 125.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 106.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 84.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 55c | 61.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 52c | 50.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 45.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 44.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 51c | 39.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 44c | 39.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 55c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 20.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5this page
- Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Dominick Barlow: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.