TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under47c33,272$15,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,637.843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…b407backed Over46c13,400$6,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,236580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe4…04abbacked Under54c13,400$7,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,236633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c11,779$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,538.622,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under47c8,580$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c6,695$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda6…e5f3backed Over46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32c3…f531backed Under54c6,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5101030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c5,109$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Under45c4,087$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.332944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9202,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over53c3,621$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.877266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under47c3,502$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.9431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Under21c2,585$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.963046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over53c2,415$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.0965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,040$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c1,912$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over79c1,811$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf31…d532backed Under47c1,712$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under3c1,213$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6129810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Over53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5644146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under46c1,059$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7420536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c828.45$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c826.91$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c700.73$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3193,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under57c689$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c654.57$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.622,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c613.38$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over61c579.94$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.523,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c524.98$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under47c489.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over53c473.63$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Under55c366.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9916440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c360.52$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c307.03$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over58c303.53$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c215.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over48c165.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2516347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over63c157.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.561,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c146.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9754351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4a…2c89backed Under53c146$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over52c127.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over55c127.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2838453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c123.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under44c109.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Over57c108.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.284637%17 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1712464.5%80 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x444e…1a78backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+57.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e1…704bbacked Under51c97.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.38043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under47c80.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.561,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under28c79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under45c78.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5320149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over71c77.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over53c67.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under45c64.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.124330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8331955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over62c60.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8239047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c59.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.231,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under29c58.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.913,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over72c55.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.781,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over50c52.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1338347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Over80c51.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1843246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.031,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Under40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over63c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4424846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.935,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.742,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over59c37.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2518957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0419848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.271245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7895…896cbacked Under45c33.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.934250%21 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c31.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49be…6f44backed Under49c29.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under34c29.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106924.6%17 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over65c28.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1141556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over44c28.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9655751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over59c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4539449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c27.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over52c26.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.