TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c28,748$14,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,661.552,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8764…604abacked Over48c18,271$8,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,500.927266.7%48 W · 24 L+14.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c6,921$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c5,156$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c5,076$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over48c3,440$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.9824942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over47c3,213$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.7720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c3,009$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.5948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c2,034$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over54c1,846$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.331,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,220$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under45c1,170$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.163,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c1,143$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Under53c1,064$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.96055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c899.88$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.943,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over49c725.51$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0113750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c509$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c416.49$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Over48c390$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.84151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.24959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c309$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7740146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under51c212.76$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5163447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under51c197.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cbc…3b01backed Under53c183.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.185442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under34c155.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.923,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under52c120.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9210066%66 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27e1…704bbacked Over66c116.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5249351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over49c77.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.121,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c67.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c56.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over49c30.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3133653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over49c29.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under56c28.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Over52c25.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4218957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under52c25.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under51c25.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8355846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over51c24.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1340344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under52c24.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over44c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c22.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117650%88 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.