Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad701f3bc7c2fe6603a46d85cdac17be40b2d66c22adbffed650261e78c66b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 62c | 2,998$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.8 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 649.74$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 76c | 606.98$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 53c | 462.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 440.63$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 405.09$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 42c | 294$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 258$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 253.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 251.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 78c | 223.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Over | 63c | 146.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 38c | 97.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 38c | 74.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 39c | 58.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 33c | 55.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 38c | 50.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Over | 61c | 41.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 66c | 37.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 34.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 30.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 61c | 16.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.