TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Southeastern Louisiana Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d70…fdd9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros72c981.1$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c513$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c442.59$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros70c350.58$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.561,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions31c342.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.643,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.682,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros60c291$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.423754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions38c216.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c204.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9230853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7224737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c194.52$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.862133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ea…5a8abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c182.75$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions30c180.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c163.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.141,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions27c158.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.441,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6583350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros63c59.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2e…0433backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c48.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd97…ad0cbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions23c46.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112560%15 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c46.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions37c44.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba08…21f1backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c44.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa88…9ff5backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c43.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…d04abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros68c16.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2318557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros62c16.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1382846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.639747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.