CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089b32fb0e0e495a27d6fb4e23a2984a820776963f40d79e6cefe3b3442ac291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,220 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Phantom | 25c | 771.07$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 751.07$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 636.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.79 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Phantom | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Phantom | 44c | 531.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 490$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Phantom | 45c | 490$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Phantom | 43c | 417.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…c537backed Phantom | 43c | 404$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 39c | 375.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…876fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 336$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 326.79$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…9ab9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 317$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…09b0backed Phantom | 43c | 268$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…adbfbacked Phantom | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…a6a4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 254$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a6…10a5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 57c | 238$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a71bbacked Phantom | 43c | 213$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Phantom | 38c | 164.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 135.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 132.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 131.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 130.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Phantom | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.