CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3daa4a1715c698035b47bcc264f522b8a90517ad475a4424a06aa7434c1d201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,600 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 36c | 1,539$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 52c | 1,315$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 872.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.2 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 71c | 871.26$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 44c | 868.06$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Phantom | 60c | 818.35$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.78 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Phantom | 38c | 691.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.76 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 44c | 667$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 45c | 560.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.48 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 405.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 346.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 312.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…fb7abacked Phantom | 24c | 284.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 56c | 279.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 252.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Phantom | 55c | 181.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 176.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…d3b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 27c | 141.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 130.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…2c09backed Phantom | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phantom | 43c | 122.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 119.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…f155backed Phantom | 63c | 118.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Phantom | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Phantom | 42c | 99.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Phantom | 21c | 93.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Phantom | 31c | 73.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…98e6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Phantom | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…a7d9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 79c | 58.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Phantom | 32c | 52.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 49.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 38.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 80c | 36.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 36.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Phantom | 55c | 35.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Phantom | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.