NHL · resolved market
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8960b15c0ece86f3049baf5a7ede4345cfb6e5ed0a181dd3cab4f8dfc2865700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Traktorof Amur Khabarovsk, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Amur Khabarovsk | 40c | 279.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 37c | 243.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Traktor | 61c | 207.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Traktor | 65c | 152.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Amur Khabarovsk | 38c | 130.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 34c | 108.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Traktor | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Traktor | 63c | 80.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Amur Khabarovsk | 39c | 72.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Traktor | 60c | 71.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Traktor | 60c | 71.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Amur Khabarovsk | 39c | 69.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Traktor | 60c | 69.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Traktor | 60c | 66.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amur Khabarovsk | 15c | 66.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Amur Khabarovsk | 39c | 65.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Traktor | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Amur Khabarovsk | 38c | 41.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Amur Khabarovsk | 53c | 37.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Traktor | 62c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Traktor | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Traktor | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Traktor | 63c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…dc03backed Traktor | 63c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.