Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf75467007e9ec5962e1f6245126d8ef88bac92ce0f14242075021cfae217303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,334 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,600$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 813.79$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 658.29$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 24c | 562.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 410$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Over | 58c | 223.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 176.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 56c | 113.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 104.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 28c | 78.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Under | 42c | 78.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Under | 42c | 76.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Under | 42c | 69.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 40c | 39.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 59c | 37.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 37.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 58c | 27.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed Under | 41c | 27.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.