Europa Conference League · resolved market
HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedec581b7543c54a66c3c21ff2cee46fbe95643c5aac47d783dca0af441fb0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,002 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7125…23eebacked No | 52c | 544.14$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 51c | 491.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.48 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Yes | 53c | 444.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…7ff5backed No | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Yes | 50c | 393.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 52c | 393.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked No | 60c | 355.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 307.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked No | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 39c | 257.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 254.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 51c | 223.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed No | 50c | 198.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed No | 50c | 194.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed No | 47c | 193$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed No | 47c | 179.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 14c | 141.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…4af3backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f5c0backed Yes | 50c | 112.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 75.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed No | 47c | 72.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 72.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 43c | 70.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 43c | 70.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 65.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 51.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 50c | 47.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 40.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 50c | 38.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 34.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…662ebacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)HNK Rijeka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.