Europa Conference League · resolved market
HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73046279091565cb557f379160dc35b592beb71b3defc04a783d2fb0e0c2d74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,678 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Over | 49c | 5,331$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Under | 51c | 4,826$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,388$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Over | 49c | 4,007$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 3,763$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Over | 49c | 3,455$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Under | 51c | 2,006$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Under | 51c | 2,004$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Under | 51c | 1,982$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Under | 51c | 1,978$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 47c | 1,154$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 45c | 951.44$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.2 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 835.26$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.8 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 54c | 638.89$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 499.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 466.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 30c | 428.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…64d1backed Under | 49c | 425$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…f411backed Over | 51c | 406.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…d9bbbacked Over | 51c | 381.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…e9e5backed Under | 49c | 364$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 361.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 45c | 276.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 235$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 13c | 235$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 213.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 47c | 168.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 167.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 55c | 128.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 52c | 116.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 113.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 55c | 109.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 49c | 77.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 71c | 74.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Over | 46c | 70.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 41c | 60.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Under | 44c | 54.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 47c | 48.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 48.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over | 50c | 48.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 24c | 48.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 44.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…2af8backed Under | 49c | 43.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 50c | 38.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 79c | 37.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…f7eabacked Under | 29c | 36.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Over | 71c | 36.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 47c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…d47abacked Over | 49c | 32.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 49c | 30.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 30.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked Under | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…5adabacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 24.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…68d8backed Under | 52c | 22.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3dbabacked Over | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…7ed5backed Under | 53c | 19.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 70c | 17.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5this page
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)HNK Rijeka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.