NHL · resolved market
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Abbotsford Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe990d5961ddb5829c645c77f13f0f537306f5efd43c23d192bdb76f90de0ce99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose Barracudaof San Jose Barracuda, Abbotsford Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked San Jose Barracuda | 63c | 178.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Jose Barracuda | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Abbotsford Canucks | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed San Jose Barracuda | 63c | 98.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +86%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 37c | 60.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Abbotsford Canucks | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Jose Barracuda | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Abbotsford Canucks | 37c | 57.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Abbotsford Canucks | 37c | 40.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Abbotsford Canucks | 37c | 39.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 37c | 39.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Abbotsford Canucks | 37c | 38.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…0454backed San Jose Barracuda | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.